ACUS11 KWNS 130029
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 130028=20
ALZ000-130230-

Mesoscale Discussion 2064
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0728 PM CDT Thu Sep 12 2024

Areas affected...central Alabama

Concerning...Tornado Watch 671...

Valid 130028Z - 130230Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 671 continues.

SUMMARY...A small area of conditional tornado potential remains over
parts of central Alabama, but probabilities will continue to drop
over time.

DISCUSSION...Prior to sunset, visible satellite showed areas of
agitated CU along a confluence line, and west of a warm front which
now stretches from near Birmingham AL into southwest GA. A moist air
mass remains over the region, with precipitable water in excess of
1.80". Scattered cells, primarily elevated, developed over
east-central AL, and persist this evening.=20

Despite the moist troposphere, instability is not particular strong,
and, confined to a relatively narrow axis just west of the warm
front. Low-level shear remains favorable in a conditional sense for
rotating storms/supercells, however, it appears unlikely at this
point that any robust convective machinations will develop to take
advantage of said shear.

..Jewell.. 09/13/2024

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!4pQrhZeHK5-tFqAsVcrquAQHOAgbLYm6Gw9UM1j8Raj0h8rmta154S2EhbQAs98DLHIHFNci7= Rs5Xet-jxbHYReISdk$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...TAE...BMX...MOB...

LAT...LON 31408685 32018706 32558715 33048737 33298757 33368728
33058653 32488581 32098573 31578589 31298638 31408685=20


=3D =3D =3D
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