• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1966

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to [email protected] on Wed Aug 21 01:39:51 2024
    ACUS11 KWNS 210139
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 210139=20
    KSZ000-OKZ000-COZ000-NMZ000-210315-

    Mesoscale Discussion 1966
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0839 PM CDT Tue Aug 20 2024

    Areas affected...Southeastern Colorado

    Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely=20

    Valid 210139Z - 210315Z

    Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

    SUMMARY...Severe thunderstorms capable of damaging winds are ongoing
    across portions of southeastern Colorado.

    DISCUSSION...Deep boundary-layer mixing across southeastern Colorado
    has resulted in steep low-level lapse rates that support severe
    outflow winds. A surging downdraft has been observed north of the
    KPUX radar site, with 60-70 MPH winds 500 ft above radar level.
    Other convective cells in the Marginal Risk area will be capable of
    similar outflow surges over the next 1-2 hours, with some potential
    for additional local enhancement of outflow winds where outflows
    merge. This activity should gradually die off in the absence of
    solar heating and in the presence of a stabilizing nocturnal
    boundary layer.

    ..Halbert/Squitieri/Guyer.. 08/21/2024

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!7jgU0nhp-uaGxqMFL78TrzAheoJA-2YpHVk8qhbmqH2wr1L577xMxL0zp0brvHaMnL7AK4BXZ= M__8vdxe1msWe4M9H8$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...DDC...GLD...AMA...PUB...BOU...ABQ...

    LAT...LON 36990304 37440432 38460484 38870488 39080475 39370394
    39390299 39060227 38290198 37030190 36990304=20


    =3D =3D =3D
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