ACUS11 KWNS 200045
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 200044=20
NMZ000-TXZ000-200145-

Mesoscale Discussion 1337
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0744 PM CDT Wed Jun 19 2024

Areas affected...southern New Mexico into far western Texas

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 436...

Valid 200044Z - 200145Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 436
continues.

SUMMARY...Large-hail and damaging-wind risk continues in WW436.

DISCUSSION...Widely scattered thunderstorm activity continues within
the southern portion of WW434. Storms within the northern portion of
the watch have generally produced hail around 1-1.5 inches, through
isolated hail up to 2 in was recorded near Torrance County, NM. A
few more isolated cells continue within the northern fringes of the
watch, but the air mass further north has largely been overturned by convection. The best instability remains from the Sacramento
Mountains southward to the Guadalupe Mountains and into far western
Texas, where surface objective analysis indicates around 1000-2000
J/kg of MLCAPE and 40-50 kts of deep layer shear. Recent gusts of
60-70 mph have been reported. Within this environment, the greatest
short-term wind/hail threat will likely continue.

..Thornton.. 06/20/2024

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!9aTFtxdc-9mIHN8dj-8FKxkhKz7vXeB2CUdJbrtxVNlB4z8Pr9qSbg-Dj0rTGScvQUbTw3kcw= XJFrMOPgSUVPexddqs$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...MAF...ABQ...EPZ...

LAT...LON 31980658 32780666 32880665 33360637 33560579 33600522
33550492 33490477 33390464 33220454 31630492 31320522
31350593 31980658=20


=3D =3D =3D
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